Rents rising more slowly than earnings
Rents usually rise in line with earnings over the long run. However, 2022-23 saw a rapid rise in rents which outstripped the growth in average earnings. This stretched rental affordability to its limits.
Rents are now rising more slowly than earnings growth. We expect this to run into 2026 and help repair affordability for renters across the UK.
This trend can be a positive message for landlord retention. The market is moving towards more sustainable and predictable growth, which can help reduce tenant turnover and the associated costs, thereby protecting long-term investments.
Supply of rental homes up 15% on last year
A shortage of homes for rent has defined the market in recent years. It’s pushed rents higher and stretched affordability across the rental market.
But supply is recovering, with national rental supply 15% higher than a year ago and the average estate agency branch marketing 14 homes for rent. This is up from a supply low of 8 in 2022, but still under the pre-pandemic average of 17.
The increased supply means tenants now have greater choice. This emphasises your role in advising landlords on property standards, maintenance and effective presentation to ensure their property stands out against increased competition.
Availability is up by more than 20% in the North West, North East, South West and Wales reflecting the stronger first-timer buyer activity in these regions. More rentals are freed up from this, alongside homes that fail to sell being placed on the rental market.
Supply is slower in London (6%) and Scotland (9%), which will keep more pressure on rental rates. In London, weak landlord economics - high purchase costs and low rental yields - are prompting continued sales of rental homes. Nearly a third of homes for sale in the capital (31%) are former rentals, which is almost 3 times the average across the rest of the country (12%).
Time to let stretches to 17 days
The time it takes for a property to rent is a key barometer of rental market health. It shows how supply and demand are shifting in real-time.
The time to rent has increased, with homes staying on the market for 17 days before being rented over the last 3 months. This is almost 20% slower than a year ago, and 42% slower than the pandemic boom in rental demand. The time to rent has increased across all regions and countries of the UK, with the average across regions ranging from 14 days in Scotland to 19 in the West Midlands.
Focusing on the financial impact of void periods is an effective way to communicate your value to a landlord, and your expertise in reducing these should be a key point in pitches. Data-driven pricing, superior marketing and efficiency administration processes can help protect landlords’ returns by reducing the average time to let and any associated void periods.
Rents rising up to 4.5% in more affordable markets
There has been a slowdown in rental inflation across all regions and countries of Great Britain due to the leveling of supply and demand.
At a regional level, rents are rising fastest in the North East (4.5%) and the North West (3.2%). In terms of local markets, the strongest rental growth is in Carlisle (8.1%), Chester (7.4%) and Motherwell (7%). These are lower-value markets where affordability leaves more headroom for rent increases.
Regional rents are rising most slowly in London (1.6%), the West Midlands (1.7%) and Scotland (1.7%). Some local markets are seeing rents fall, including Birmingham (-1.5%) and Dundee (-1%). Many of these are higher-value areas where stretched affordability is limiting further rises.
These differences reflect local shifts in supply and demand, as well as the affordability of rents relative to local incomes.
What’s in store for the rental sector in 2026?
The rental market is shifting back towards more ‘normal’ levels of activity, which supports sustainable levels of rent rises. A modest supply/demand imbalance remains, which will keep rents rising gradually: we expect rents to rise by 2.5% in 2026.
New investment from landlords remains limited and the number of rented homes is broadly unchanged for a decade, with little prospect of near-term growth. The forecast of stable 2.5% growth can provide confidence to existing clients, and your role becomes even more paramount in navigating regulations and legislative changes to retain landlords and attract new portfolios.
Slower rental inflation is a reflection of both weaker demand and stretched affordability, but many low-to-middle income renters will always rely on the rental sector. This core group will play a key role in determining how much rents can rise in the years ahead.
We expect rental affordability across the UK to return to pre-pandemic levels in the coming year. This will improve choice for tenants and help to contain rental inflation at more affordable levels.
Rents and rises across the UK