Mortgages rates hit different around the UK
A closer look at our data draws a parallel between affordability and more resilient home values. This is most evident in the UK’s northern regions where lower house prices have supported buying activity.
Region/country | Homes that have grown in value every year | % homes increasing over 5 years | Homes that have fallen in value every year | % homes decreasing over 5 years |
N Ireland | 300,400 | 37.9% | 0 | 0.0% |
North West | 1,006,800 | 29.7% | 700 | 0.0% |
Scotland | 599,200 | 22.6% | 9,300 | 0.3% |
Yorks & Humber | 551,200 | 22.0% | 1,500 | 0.1% |
North East | 250,800 | 20.5% | 600 | 0.0% |
West Midlands | 502,400 | 19.6% | 1,900 | 0.1% |
Wales | 277,900 | 19.1% | 300 | 0.0% |
Values have consistently increased in Northern Ireland, Scotland, the North West, the North East and Yorkshire & the Humber. Despite this, the house price in each of these regions remains below the national average (£271,900). This shows buyers have been less affected by higher mortgage rates.
East Midlands | 212,400 | 9.8% | 800 | 0.0% |
London | 178,000 | 4.6% | 30,400 | 0.8% |
South West | 107,300 | 4.1% | 1,300 | 0.0% |
South East | 129,400 | 3.2% | 6,100 | 0.2% |
East of England | 72,600 | 2.6% | 3,700 | 0.1% |
The story is very different in the south. Here fewer than 1 in 20 homes have consistently risen in value every year since 2021. While values are not repeatedly falling, year-on-year growth has been confined to fewer homes. This is due to above-average house prices and the end of ultra-low mortgage rates.
Hyper-local variations replace regional averages
A deeper dive into our data illustrates how movers should be less influenced by national and regional house prices. While they act as a general barometer, they rarely tell the full picture.
Post Town | Region | Number of homes registering consistent price gains over 5 years | % homes registering an increase in value each year |
Bonnybridge | Scotland | 3,660 | 60.8% |
Antrim | Northern Ireland | 10,583 | 60.5% |
Castleford | Yorkshire & Humber | 13,395 | 53.6% |
Wednesbury | West Midlands | 10,940 | 51.3% |
Dukinfield | North West | 4,817 | 51.1% |
Tonypandy | Wales | 4,636 | 46.6% |
Hebburn | North East | 4,881 | 42.6% |
Hope Valley | East Midlands | 2,019 | 37.5% |
Dagenham | London | 15,800 | 31.6% |
Bicester | South East | 7,408 | 27.7% |
Dursley | South West | 1,387 | 15.1% |
Witham | East of England | 2,208 | 13.3% |
When we tracked activity at town level, we discovered a consistent pattern. Strong value resilience was recorded in, but is not exclusive to, towns with affordable purchase prices and good transport links. Top performers include:
Dagenham: the East London hotspot clinging on to family-friendly affordability while experiencing real regeneration.
Homes in Dagenham cost around 25% less than the London average. This is despite the Elizabeth Line and the Overground extension to Barking Riverside. 31.6% of homes in Dagenham registered consistent value increases between 2021 and 2026. This compared to London’s 4.6% average.
Bicester: the well-connected Oxford outlier.
Bicester’s growth corridor position and supply of new homes resulted in 28% of the town’s homes rising in value every year since 2021. Appeal increased in 2024 when the Bicester to Bletchley section of the Oxford-Cambridge link opened
Bonnybridge: the Scottish village with commuter credentials.
Bonnybridge had the UK’s highest proportion of homes that increased in value every year for five years - 60.8%. The average Bonnybridge property price is £220,000, with commutes of less than 40 minutes to Glasgow and Edinburgh.
Markets to watch: past their peak
A value warning was found among Zoopla’s figures. Witham in the East of England is indicative of locations where home values have found their ceiling. The Essex town saw just 13.3% of homes increase in value every year since 2021, despite a speedy 45-minute commute to Liverpool Street.
The caveat here is Witham’s average home value of £320,000 - almost £50,000 above the UK average. Ceiling limits like this are increasingly relevant while mortgage rates stay above 4%.